Dolphins vs. Colts Odds & Betting Predictions - September 7, 2025

Dolphins at Colts

5:00 pm • CBS
8 - 33

Dolphins at Colts Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Dolphins
0-1
+1.5
+1.5-111
o47-115
+108
Colts
1-0
u46.5
-1.5-108
u47-106
-115
location pinSunday 5:00 p.m.
September 07, 2025
Lucas Oil StadiumIndianapolis
Dolphins vs. Colts Expert Picks
Vegas Refund
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 14-14-0 (-1.7u)
IND -1-105
1u
Stuck 🚨
Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 26-25-1 (-0.6u)
Over 46.5-105
0.2u
Soured on under some and trying to be lighter on totals early with rule changes. Maybe it lands 47
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 76-76-6 (-5.0u)
MIA +100
1u
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 23-29-0 (-6.9u)
MIA +108
2u
Chris Raybon
Chris Raybon
Last 30d: 7-7-0 (-1.4u)
J.Hill u17.5 Rec Yds-110
0.91u
ThatGuyBets
ThatGuyBets
Last 30d: 6-3-0 (+2.5u)
Jonathan Taylor o78.5 Rush Yards-114
1.14u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 94-83-0 (+24.2u)
Over 46.5-110
3u
Austin Pendergrass
Austin Pendergrass
Last 30d: 65-47-0 (-1.5u)
J.Taylor o18.5 Rush Att-122
0.5u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 189-187-4 (+2.3u)
MIA +100
0.25u
Exchange
Will Brinson
Will Brinson
Last 30d: 17-20-0 (-0.7u)
MIA +1.5-117
1.17u
Matt DiLeo
Matt DiLeo
Last 30d: 40-37-0 (-4.1u)
J.Downs o4.5 Recs-138
1u
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
Last 30d: 118-114-0 (-2.3u)
T.Dodson o5.5 Tackles + Ast+120
1.2u
Roger Goodell
Roger Goodell
Last 30d: 8-11-0 (-3.0u)
MIA +1.5-117
1u
Brandon Anderson
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 6-20-0 (-4.1u)
MIA -13.5+560
0.25u
When I first pulled up the Week 1 schedule, this would've been the last game I expected to bet. These feel like two of the least predictable teams in the league, and the vibes for both franchises this offseason were terrible. I also hate betting games with coin flip lines like this, and these teams were certainly a coin flip last year — both offenses and defenses ranked between 19th and 22th in DVOA, a perfect encapsulation of boringly-subpar not-terrible-but-not-good-either units. For some goofy reason, the Colts are terrible in Week 1. They managed to cover last season by a single point, but it was their first Week 1 cover in a decade. And for some reason, when the Dolphins do win a game, it's usually not close. In the last two years, Miami has won 18 games with Tua Tagovailoa; 11 of those wins (61%) were by at least seven points, and almost half of them (44%) were by at least 14. The Dolphins are unpredictable week-to-week, but when this offense is healthy and things go well, they usually go quite well. Mike McDaniel always has a few new wrinkles to start the season, and that's a tough ask for new Colts DC Lou Anarumo with his guys adjusting to a new system. Miami's secondary is five entirely new names this season but the Colts aren't built to test that secondary, and if the Colts do fall behind — well, do you trust Daniel Jones playing from a negative script? I want no part in a traditional side or moneyline here. I have no idea if either team is good or bad or terrible, nor who will win. But if the Dolphins do win, they'll probably win by a lot, so let's just play that. Split your bet between two Miami alternate lines: -6.5 at +240 (BetMGM) and -13.5 at +560 (FanDuel).
MIA -6.5+240
0.25u
When I first pulled up the Week 1 schedule, this would've been the last game I expected to bet. These feel like two of the least predictable teams in the league, and the vibes for both franchises this offseason were terrible. I also hate betting games with coin flip lines like this, and these teams were certainly a coin flip last year — both offenses and defenses ranked between 19th and 22th in DVOA, a perfect encapsulation of boringly-subpar not-terrible-but-not-good-either units. For some goofy reason, the Colts are terrible in Week 1. They managed to cover last season by a single point, but it was their first Week 1 cover in a decade. And for some reason, when the Dolphins do win a game, it's usually not close. In the last two years, Miami has won 18 games with Tua Tagovailoa; 11 of those wins (61%) were by at least seven points, and almost half of them (44%) were by at least 14. The Dolphins are unpredictable week-to-week, but when this offense is healthy and things go well, they usually go quite well. Mike McDaniel always has a few new wrinkles to start the season, and that's a tough ask for new Colts DC Lou Anarumo with his guys adjusting to a new system. Miami's secondary is five entirely new names this season but the Colts aren't built to test that secondary, and if the Colts do fall behind — well, do you trust Daniel Jones playing from a negative script? I want no part in a traditional side or moneyline here. I have no idea if either team is good or bad or terrible, nor who will win. But if the Dolphins do win, they'll probably win by a lot, so let's just play that. Split your bet between two Miami alternate lines: -6.5 at +240 (BetMGM) and -13.5 at +560 (FanDuel).
Action Pod NFL Picks
Action Pod NFL Picks
Last 30d: 8-19-0 (-6.6u)
MIA -6.5+240
0.5u
MIA -13.5+560
0.25u
Cam Is Money
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 41-67-1 (-19.3u)
J.Taylor o77.5 Rush Yds-120
1u
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 54-72-2 (-18.6u)
MIA -110
1.1u
The Propfessor
The Propfessor
Last 30d: 32-69-0 (-3.9u)
J.Downs o4.5 Recs-114
0.75u
Ryan Sura
Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 56-62-5 (-7.1u)
O.Gordon Anytime TD Scorer Yes+255
0.4u
Stuck 🚨
Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 26-25-1 (-0.6u)
Under 47.5-115
0.35u
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 54-72-2 (-18.6u)
T.Hill o69.5 Rec Yds-114
1.14u
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 19-17-2 (+4.5u)
J.Downs o44.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 77-92-9 (-12.9u)
MIA +1.5-116
1.16u
Jim Sannes
Jim Sannes
Last 30d: 5-25-0 (-2.6u)
MIA -102
1u
I hate it, but here we are. Hard to model in bad vibes, so I've got the Dolphins favored by around a field goal here. What could go wrong.
Player Props
Player Props
Last 30d: 14-18-1 (-4.7u)
J.Taylor o78.5 Rush Yds-114
1u
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 8-14-0 (+3.4u)
N.Westbrook-Ikhine Anytime TD Scorer Yes+650
0.5u
No way I’m passing on NWI at this price. Big target for Tua and he scored vs Colts in both games last year with Titans.
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 44-54-3 (-4.5u)
Over 45.5-110
1.1u
FTN Fantasy
FTN Fantasy
Last 30d: 57-94-0 (-39.9u)
MIA +1-105
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 113-132-2 (-24.3u)
MIA +1.5-112
1.12u
Overall: 70-33-3,68% (ROI:31%)

Dolphins vs. Colts Previews & Analysis

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Dolphins vs. Colts Props

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Dolphins vs. Colts Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Dolphins

Public

79%

Bets%

21%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Colts
1-01-0N/A1-0N/A
Dolphins
0-1N/A0-1N/A0-1

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Colts
0-10-1N/A0-1N/A
Dolphins
0-1N/A0-1N/A0-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Colts
1-0N/AN/A1-0N/A
Dolphins
0-1N/AN/AN/A0-1

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Aug 23rd@CINW 41-14+2.5 WO 36.5IND +125
Aug 16thGBL 19-23-6 LO 39GB -256
Aug 7th@BALL 16-24-6 LO 35.5BAL -272
Jan 5thJACW 26-23-3.5 LO 46.5IND -185
Dec 29th@NYGL 33-45-7.5 LO 40.5NYG -415

Colts vs. Dolphins Injury Updates

Colts Injuries

  • Tyler Goodson
    RB

    Goodson is questionable with elbow

    Questionable

Dolphins Injuries

  • Darren Waller
    TE

    Waller is doubtful with hip

    Doubtful

  • James Daniels
    G

    Daniels is questionable with ankle

    Questionable

  • Dee Eskridge
    WR

    Eskridge is questionable with concussion

    Questionable

  • Ethan Bonner
    CB

    Bonner is out with hamstring

    Out

  • Jaylen Wright
    RB

    Wright is out with knee

    Out

Team Stats
211
Total Yards
418
46
Total Plays
70
4.6
Yards Per Play
6
146
YDS
272
19/31
Comps/Atts
22/29
3.912
YPA
8.733
1/2
TDs/INTs
1/0
3/13
Sacks/Yards
1/10
78
Rush Yards
156
12
Attempts
40
6.5
YPC
3.9
0
TDs
2

Turnovers

1
Fumbles Lost
0
2
Interceptions
0

Efficiency

1/1 100%
Redzone
3/6 50%
5/10 0%
3rd Down
7/15 0%
1/2 0%
4th Down
3/3 0%

First Downs

12
Total
27
9
Pass
14
3
Rush
11
0
Penalty
2
3/15
Penalties/Yards
4/45
21:17
Possession
38:43

Dolphins vs. Colts Odds Comparison

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Dolphins at Colts Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Dolphins
0-1
o23.5-107
u23.5-116
Colts
1-0
o24-108
u24-114