Rangers vs Angels Prediction, Pick, Odds for Thursday

Rangers vs Angels Prediction, Pick, Odds for Thursday article feature image
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Pictured: Patrick Corbin. (Credit: David Frerker-Imagn Images)

The Los Angeles Angels (45-47) host the Texas Rangers (45-48) on Thursday, July 10, 2025. First pitch from Angel Stadium is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on RSN and MLB.TV.

Find my Rangers vs Angels prediction and MLB betting preview below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.

Texas enters as a -120 moneyline favorite, while Los Angeles is priced at even money (+100). The total has been set at 9.5 runs, despite both teams showing offensive bursts in recent outings. This is Game 4 of the series, with the Angels leading 2-1 after wins in Games 1 (6-5) and 3 (11-8), while Texas ran away with Game 2 by a 13-1 margin.

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Rangers vs Angels Prediction

  • Rangers vs. Angels Pick: Under 9.5 (-105)

My Rangers vs. Angels best bet is on both teams to go under the total. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Rangers vs Angels Odds

Rangers Logo
Thursday, Jul 10
9:38 p.m. ET
RSN
Angels Logo
Rangers Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
+135
9.5
-115o / -105u
-120
Angels Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-165
9.5
-115o / -105u
+100
Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
BetMGM Logo

Rangers vs Angels Projected Starting Pitchers

LHP Patrick Corbin (TEX)StatRHP Jack Kochanowicz (LAA)
5-7W-L3-8
0.9fWAR (FanGraphs)-0.1
4.18 / 4.49ERA / xERA5.42 / 4.92
4.34 / 4.18FIP / xFIP5.58 / 4.82
1.29WHIP1.55
11.6%K-BB%11.0%
36.9%GB%37.8%
96Stuff+93
103Location+113

Rangers vs Angels Pick, Betting Analysis

After a wild Game 3 that featured six lead changes and 19 combined runs, bettors may be tempted to expect another high-scoring showdown between the Texas Rangers and Los Angeles Angels.

But the numbers — and a proven sharp-money system — suggest the opposite heading into Thursday’s series finale.

The key angle here is the “Silent Sharp Unders” system developed by Evan Abrams. This model targets games between capable, competitive teams where totals quietly drop from open to close. Even in matchups with marquee names and recent scoring spikes, sharp bettors will subtly hit the under, capitalizing on overlooked variables like bullpen matchups, pitcher contact profiles, or even umpire tendencies.

This series fits that mold perfectly: two teams coming off emotional, swing-heavy games with likely regression looming. The weather remains neutral, and the market has softened slightly on total expectations, despite Mike Trout and Jorge Soler’s recent fireworks.

With sharp money whispering “under” and public eyes glued to the scoreboard, this game has all the hallmarks of a quiet reversal.

MLB Icon
Evan Abrams / Bet Labs – Silent Sharp Unders
the temperature is between 34 and 87 degrees
the visiting team's 5 Game recent win percentage is between 40% and 100%
the home team's 5 Game recent win percentage is between 40% and 100%
the closing total is between 7.5 and 10
the home team's game number is between 6 and 162
the visitor team's win percentage is between 46% and 100%
the home team's win percentage is between 46% and 100%
the o/u change from open to close is between -1 and 0
the over/under % is between 1% and 29%
betting on the Under
$21.153
WON
1243-982-87
RECORD
56%
WIN%

Pick: Under 9.5 (-105)

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