The Miami Marlins host the Minnesota Twins on Wednesday, July 2, 2025. First pitch from loanDepot park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on FDSFL and MLB.TV.
The Twins enter as -120 favorites on the moneyline, while the Marlins are +100 to pull off the upset. Meanwhile, the over/under sits at 8.5 total runs.
Find my Twins vs Marlins prediction and MLB betting preview below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
Twins vs Marlins Prediction
- Twins vs Marlins Pick: Under 8.5
My Marlins vs. Twins best bet is on both teams to go under the total. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Twins vs Marlins Odds
| Twins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +145 | 8.5 -120o / +100u | -120 |
| Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -170 | 8.5 -120o / +100u | +100 |
Twins vs Marlins Projected Starting Pitchers
Twins vs Marlins MLB Betting Preview
Wednesday's Twins vs. Marlins matchup fits a historically profitable betting system from our Bet Labs database.
Named "Series Unders: Off Low-Scoring Games," this system focuses on regular-season MLB matchups where both teams are entering the second or later game of a series after producing minimal offense in their previous outing.
When teams come off one- or two-game streaks of low scoring, particularly early- to mid-series, the market can overcorrect or undervalue continued offensive stagnation.
This model anticipates that trend to persist, betting on the under when recent results and situational rhythm point to a slow-paced, low-output environment.
This system has racked up an all-time record of 1380-1108-120, good for a 55.5% win percentage and an ROI of 7%. In 2025, that number moves to 51-33 (61%) with a 17% ROI.
Twins vs Marlins Pick, Betting Analysis
The Marlins are coming off a 2-0 win over the Twins, which certainly fits the low-scoring parameters in this system.
In fact, Tuesday's tilt marked the second time in as many days the Twins have been shut out, as they also lost to the Tigers, 3-0, on Sunday before making the trip to Miami.
It's also worth noting that both of these teams rank in the bottom half of MLB in runs per game, with the Marlins sitting 17th (4.28) and the Twins coming in at 19th (4.19). Over the last three games, though, Minnesota ranks 29th in runs per game at 1.67.
Given the lack of offense we've seen, we're going to bet that trend continues.
Pick: Under 8.5
Moneyline
We don't have a bet on the moneyline for this game.
Run Line (Spread)
Like the moneyline, we're staying away from the run line in this game between the Twins and Marlins.
Over/Under
Our best bet for this matchup is for both teams to go under the total. With the lack of offense we've seen already in this series and the Twins' recent struggles at the plate, it makes sense that we'll see another low-scoring affair.
