Rays vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - July 1, 2023

Rays at Mariners

2:10 am • ROOT Sports NW

Tampa Bay Rays

0-0

15 - 4

Seattle Mariners

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Miller			4.32	8-7
S.McClanahan			3.29	11-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rays 0-0	-1.5+132	o7.5-115	-134
Mariners 0-0	+1.5-160	u7.5-105	+114

Saturday 2:10 a.m.

July 01, 2023

T-Mobile ParkSeattle

TB -122

0.5u

TB -129

0.78u

71% win rate when favorites, Mariners fake sharp

S.McClanahan o17.5 Outs-135

S.McClanahan u6.5 Ks+106

1.06u

Available at FanDuel. This is largely due to uncertainty around McClanahan's back injury and whether it'll allow him to get a full leash. But even before that, McClanahan wasn't necessarily bathing in strikeouts. His strikeout rate his past 10 starts with fewer curveballs is 24.4%. He did still go over this number in five of his nine full starts in that stretch, but he hit the over in just two of five road starts. The Mariners love to strike out against lefties, so he may hit his mark even without a full leash, but I think there are two paths to an under here, allowing me to take the plus money.

B.Miller u5.5 Ks-142

1.2u

Available at FanDuel. Not only is Miller not a huge strikeout guy to begin with, but this matchup is brutal. We know the Rays have power, but they also boast just a 21.4% strikeout rate on the current active roster. So, Miller could struggle due to how good they are, or he could be fine but still not get strikeouts. That's why I can feel comfortable laying -142 here. I have Miller projected for 4.48 strikeouts, enough cushion to pull the trigger.

Today's NRFI Best Bet: McClanahan, Miller in Rays vs. Mariners
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The Rays are 53-26 (.671) after a home win since last season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .541.

The Rays are 56-28 (.667) this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mariners are just 6-10 (.375) after a road win this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .490.

The Mariners are just 8-19 (.296) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .426.

Eugenio Suarez has an OPS of just .376 with two strikes this season -- second worst in MLB-- second Percentile. Shane McClanahan has allowed an OPS of just .398 (221 PAs) with two strikes this season -- ninth best among qualified SPs-- 87th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mariners are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mariners' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 31 of Mariners' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	74-88	38-43	36-45	47-62	26-26
Rays	89-73	45-36	44-37	32-36	55-34

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mariners	76-76-10	31-45-5	45-31-5	50-55-4	25-21-6
Rays	68-88-6	36-40-5	32-48-1	29-38-1	36-48-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	85-77	49-32	36-45	62-47	23-29
Rays	80-82	42-39	38-43	36-32	42-47

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 28th	WSH	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	WSH -290
Jun 28th	WSH	L 4-7	-1.5 L	O 8.5	WSH -240
Jun 27th	WSH	W 8-4	-1.5 W	O 8	SEA -260
Jun 25th	@BAL	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8	BAL -120
Jun 24th	@BAL	L 4-6	-	O 9	BAL +100

Shane McClanahan
P
McClanahan is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LS.McClanahan, P	66	3	1	4
RS.Armstrong, P	32	2	2	0
LJ.Diekman, P	11	0.2	1	0
RK.Kelly, P	18	1.1	0	0
RJ.Adam, P	11	1	1	0
LC.Poche, P	21	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	1-5	1	0	1
1V.Brujan, PH	0-1	0	0	1
1V.Brujan, 2B	0-1	0	0	1
2W. Franco, SS	2-6	2	0	2
3L.Raley, RF	2-4	2	0	1
4R.Arozarena, LF	2-5	2	1	3
5I.Paredes, 3B	0-3	1	0	1
5I.Paredes, 1B	0-3	1	0	1
6J.Lowe, DH	3-5	2	1	2
7J.Siri, CF	1-4	1	1	2
8T.Walls, 2B	2-5	2	0	1
8T.Walls, 3B	2-5	2	0	1
9C.Bethancourt, C	3-5	2	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Miller, P	61	3.1	6	2
RM.Brash, P	32	1.1	1	1
RT.Gott, P	20	1.1	1	1
RA.Munoz, P	22	1	0	4
LG.Speier, P	19	0.1	0	4
LT.Saucedo, P	19	0.2	0	0
RM.Ford, P	20	1	0	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Crawford, SS	1-3	0	0	2
2J.Rodriguez, CF	0-5	0	0	0
3T.France, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4T.Hernandez, RF	1-2	1	0	0
5E.Suarez, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
6T.Murphy, DH	1-2	1	1	2
6M.Ford, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7C.Raleigh, C	1-2	1	0	0
8J.Kelenic, LF	1-3	1	0	0
8D.Moore, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Caballero, 2B	1-4	0	0	0