Pirates vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - September 10, 2023

Pirates at Braves

5:35 pm • BSSE

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

2 - 5

Atlanta Braves

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Winans			5.29	1-2
L.Ortiz			4.78	5-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 0-0	+1.5+112	o10-105	+215
Braves 0-2	-1.5-134	u10-115	-270

Sunday 5:35 p.m.

September 10, 2023

Truist ParkAtlanta

Featured Insight
Braves Right Handed Hitters have struck out just 20% against LHP over the last week -- fourth-lowest in MLB. Pirates have a strikeout rate of just 22% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- ninth-lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Pirates have scored first in just 45% of their games over the last two weeks -- fourth-lowest in MLB. The Braves have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games over the last two weeks -- lowest in MLB.

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The Pirates are just 11-55 (.167) when allowing 5 or more runs this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .217.

Ronald Acuna is slugging .544 on breaking pitches since last season -- sixth best in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Craig Kimbrel has thrown his curveball 32% of the time since last season -- tied for seventh highest among qualified RPs-- 89th Percentile.

Luis Ortiz has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 92.3 MPH (224 batted balls) this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 89.3 -- 0 Percentile.

Luis Ortiz has a strikeout rate of just 15% (48 SO in 314 PAs) this season -- 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 22% -- sixth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 9th	PIT	L 4-8	-1.5 L	O 10.5	PIT -215
Sep 8th	PIT	W 8-2	-1.5 W	O 9.5	ATL -207
Sep 7th	STL	W 8-5	-1.5 W	O 10	ATL -345
Sep 6th	STL	L 6-11	-1.5 L	O 9.5	STL -350
Sep 5th	STL	L 6-10	-1.5 L	O 10.5	STL -220

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Marco Gonzales
P
Gonzales is out with arm
Out
Ke'Bryan Hayes
IF
Hayes is out with back
Out
Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Endy Rodriguez
C
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Ortiz, P	73	5.1	0	1
LR.Borucki, P	10	1	1	0
RC.Selby, P	21	0.1	0	4
RT. Hatch, P	28	1.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Bae, 2B	1-4	1	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	2-4	1	1
3K.Hayes, DH	1-4	0	0
4J.Suwinski, CF	1-4	0	1
5L.Peguero, SS	0-4	0	0
6J.Palacios, RF	2-4	0	0
7J.Triolo, 3B	0-3	0	0
7E.Rodriguez, PH	0-1	0	0
8A.Rivas, 1B	0-2	0	0
8C.Joe, PH	0-1	0	0
8C.Joe, 1B	0-1	0	0
9J.Delay, C	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Winans, P	86	6.1	8	2
LB. Hand, P	4	0.2	0	0
LA.Minter, P	20	1	3	0
RR.Iglesias, P	7	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-3	1	2
2O.Albies, 2B	1-4	2	0
3A.Riley, 3B	1-3	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	2-3	0	3
5M.Ozuna, DH	0-4	0	0
6E.Rosario, LF	1-4	0	0
7T.d'Arnaud, C	0-4	0	0
8O.Arcia, SS	0-3	1	0
9M.Harris, CF	1-3	1	0