Mets vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - July 6, 2023

Mets at Diamondbacks

1:40 am • MLB Network

New York Mets

7-6

2 - 1

Arizona Diamondbacks

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Henry			4.15	5-4
K.Senga			2.98	12-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 7-6	-1.5+140	o9-120	-116
Diamondbacks 0-0	+1.5-170	u9-105	-102

Thursday 1:40 a.m.

July 06, 2023

Chase FieldPhoenix

ARI -110

3.3u

ARI +110 (F5)

0.5u

FanDuel 9:13.

ARI -102

0.5u

ARI +100

C.Carroll o1.5 Total Bases+100

Hey Royal if you’re reading this it’s too late

ARI -115

1.15u

K.Senga o5.5 Ks-110

0.91u

Under 9.5-105

0.5u

Bet to -108

K.Senga o5.5 Ks+110

1.1u

Senga was bumped from yesterdays start - but that was seemingly so they can get Scherzer one more start on Sunday before the all star break (they weren’t going to have Senga go again on 4 days rest). So I’ll gladly run this back - here’s what I typed up yesterday: Senga is over this line in 12/15 starts - one miss was first game on 4 days rest - but is 7/L7 on 5 days rest, like he has today. ARI is tough on paper (19.6% K% on the season vs righties, 21.6% L14 days). But I think their approach will get them in trouble today. ARI is actually 2nd in called strike %, and will find themselves in plenty of 2 strike counts. While they are typically saved from Ks with two strike contact, seeing Senga’s forkball for the first time has flummoxed essentially every team - and he loves unleashing it with 2 strikes. Opponents have 55 Ks in 96 PAs this season, with a 58.8% whiff rate.

K.Senga o5.5 Ks+108

0.54u

NYM u4.5-113

0.88u

Crook looks like chicken little and is a window licker

T.Henry o4.5 Ks+150

ARI +100

0.5u

Need +100

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See more MLB Coverage

The Mets are just 2-8 (.200) after a loss as underdogs this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.

The Mets are just 5-33 (.132) when allowing 5 or more runs this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .215.

Christian Walker is slugging .588 on breaking pitches this season -- 10th best in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. David Robertson has thrown his curveball 48% of the time this season -- fifth highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 50 of Diamondbacks' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	82-80	37-44	45-36	37-48	43-31
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	92-64-6	50-29-2	42-35-4	50-33-2	41-29-4
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	89-73	44-37	45-36	52-33	35-39
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 4th	NYM	L 5-8	+1.5 L	O 9	NYM +130
Jul 2nd	@LAA	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	LAA +102
Jul 2nd	@LAA	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 10	ARI +100
Jul 1st	@LAA	W 6-2	+1.5 W	U 10	ARI +130
Jun 29th	TB	L 1-6	-1.5 L	U 9.5	TB -120

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

Ryne Nelson
P
Nelson is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Senga, P		107	8	12	1
RD.Robertson, P		14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, CF	0-4	0	0	0
2T.Pham, LF	1-4	0	0	0
3F.Lindor, SS	0-4	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5S.Marte, RF	1-3	0	0	0
6J.McNeil, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7F.Alvarez, C	2-4	1	1	1
8B.Baty, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
8L.Guillorme, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
9M.Canha, DH	1-2	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Henry, P	87	6	2	0
LK.Nelson, P	13	0.2	2	0
RS.McGough, P	23	1.1	2	0
LA.Chafin, P	24	0.2	0	2
RK.Ginkel, P	6	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Perdomo, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
1G.Perdomo, SS	1-4	0	0	0
2E. Longoria, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
2D.Fletcher, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3C.Carroll, LF	1-4	0	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	1-3	1	1	1
5L.Gurriel, DH	0-3	0	0	0
6J.McCarthy, RF	1-3	0	0	0
7C.Kelly, C	0-3	0	0	0
8N.Ahmed, SS	0-2	0	0	0
8K.Marte, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8K.Marte, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
9A.Thomas, CF	0-3	0	0	0