Cubs vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - August 9, 2023

Cubs at Mets

11:10 pm • MLB Network

Chicago Cubs

0-0

3 - 4

New York Mets

7-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Peterson			5.03	3-8
K.Hendricks			3.75	6-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 0-0	-1.5+130	o9-115	-118
Mets 7-6	+1.5-156	u9-105	+100

Wednesday 11:10 p.m.

August 09, 2023

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

CHC -104

1.04u

K.Hendricks o16.5 Outs-121

1.21u

Full write up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/propbetguys-mlb-player-prop-pick-back-cubs-kyle-hendricks-wednesday-august-9

NYM +105

0.53u

Bet to +104

Featured Insight
The Cubs have scored 5.4 runs per game at home over the last week -- tied for third-highest in MLB (64 games). The Mets have allowed 5.0 runs per game on the road over the last week -- fifth-highest in MLB (65 games).

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Featured Insight
Cubs have struck out 24% since last season -- 10th-highest in MLB. Mets have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season -- third-highest in MLB.

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The Mets are just 8-30 (.211) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season -- tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Jeff McNeil has struck out in just 7% of PA's over the last 30 days -- third lowest in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Kyle Hendricks has a strikeout rate of just 13% vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days -- second lowest among qualified SPs-- third Percentile.

Dansby Swanson is slugging just .324 on non-fastballs since last season -- tied for third worst in MLB-- third Percentile. Brooks Raley has thrown off-speed pitches 73% of the time since last season -- second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

David Peterson has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 52% (229/443) of right-handed hitters since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 66% -- 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (39/114) against David Peterson on sliders since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 23% -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 8th	CHC	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 9	CHC +115
Aug 7th	CHC	W 11-2	-1.5 W	O 9	NYM -112
Aug 6th	@BAL	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 8.5	BAL +165
Aug 5th	@BAL	L 3-7	+1.5 L	O 9.5	BAL +144
Aug 4th	@BAL	L 3-10	+1.5 L	O 9.5	BAL +125

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

Ben Brown
P
Brown is out with neck
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Hendricks, P	94	5	6	2
RH.Wesneski, P	14	0	0	2
RJ.Cuas, P	36	1.2	2	0
RJ.Merryweather, P	3	0.1	1	0
RM.Leiter, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Morel, DH	1-4	1	1	1
2N.Hoerner, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
3I.Happ, LF	0-5	0	0	0
4C.Bellinger, CF	0-4	0	0	0
4C.Bellinger, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5D.Swanson, SS	0-4	0	0	0
6S.Suzuki, RF	3-4	2	1	1
7J.Candelario, 3B	2-4	0	0	0
8P.Wisdom, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
8M.Tauchman, PH	0-0	0	0	0
8M.Tauchman, CF	0-0	0	0	0
9M.Amaya, C	0-2	0	0	0
9N.Madrigal, PH	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Peterson, P	62	3.2	5	2
RG.Hartwig, P	38	2.1	2	0
RT.Gott, P	19	1	1	0
LJ.Walker, P	16	1	2	0
RA.Ottavino, P	10	0	0	1
RP.Bickford, P	17	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, CF	1-5	0	0	0
2F.Alvarez, C	1-4	0	0	0
3F.Lindor, SS	1-3	1	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-2	1	1	2
5J.McNeil, RF	1-4	1	1	1
6A. Almonte, DH	1-3	1	0	0
7M.Vientos, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7D.Mendick, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
8J. Araúz, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
9R.Ortega, LF	1-4	0	0	0