Astros vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - October 10, 2023

Astros at Twins

8:07 pm • FOX

Houston Astros

3-1

9 - 1

Minnesota Twins

1-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros 3-1	+1.5-190	o8-104	+110
Twins 1-3	-1.5+157	u8-118	-130

Tuesday 8:07 p.m.

October 10, 2023

Target FieldMinneapolis

HOU +110

1.1u

As I broke down on Payoff Pitch, added Twins +1.5 (+115) after G1 loss. Think Astros have edge here with Javier’s late 2H surge on Stuff+ both to FB/SL.

MIN -1.5+164

0.61u

MIN -127

1.27u

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)+104

1.04u

S.Gray u1.5 Earned Runs+115

E.Julien To Record 2+ Total Bases+175

MIN -1.5+175

S.Gray o4.5 Ks+128

2.56u

MIN -135 (F5)

2.03u

MIN -130

1.95u

Under 4.5 (F5)-128

Just to get the blood flowing today

S.Gray o14.5 Outs-125

0.25u

Under 8-102

0.51u

Bet to -105

Featured Insight
Twins Left Handed Hitters have struck out 28% against RHP over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB. AstrosRPs have a strikeout rate of 25% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- tied for eighth-highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Twins hitters have a hard-hit rate of 42% this season -- fourth-best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 41% against the Astros this season -- tied for seventh-worst in MLB.

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The Astros are 27-18 (.600) after a road win this season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .496.

Cristian Javier has thrown fastballs 59% of the time (1,541/2,618) __SPLITSTRING__ this season -- 3rd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 49% -- 91st Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 43 of Twins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26
Astros	81-80	40-41	41-39	56-60	23-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30
Astros	65-91-5	37-41-3	28-50-2	45-66-5	18-24

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30
Astros	0-2	46-35	42-38	66-50	20-22

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 9th	@HOU	W 6-2	+1.5 W	O 7.5	MIN +115
Oct 7th	@HOU	L 4-6	-	-	-
Oct 4th	TOR	W 2-0	-	-	-
Oct 3rd	TOR	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 7.5	MIN -122
Oct 1st	@COL	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 13	COL -160

Lance McCullers
P
McCullers is out with arm
Out
Cristian Javier
P
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Jose Urquidy
P
Urquidy is out with arm
Out
Luis Garcia
P
Garcia is out with elbow
Out

Jose Miranda
IF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
Trevor Larnach
OF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
Joe Ryan
P
Ryan is out with triceps
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Javier, P	87	5	9	0
RH.Brown, P	22	1	0	1
RB.Abreu, P	12	1	2	0
RP.Maton, P	10	1	1	0
RR.Montero, P	15	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	1-5	1	0	0
2A.Bregman, 3B	2-5	1	1	2
3Y.Alvarez, LF	3-5	2	1	1
3C.McCormick, LF	0-0	0	0	0
4K.Tucker, RF	1-3	2	0	1
5J.Abreu, 1B	2-5	2	2	5
6Y.Diaz, DH	0-5	0	0	0
7M.Dubon, CF	2-5	0	0	0
8J.Pena, SS	1-4	1	0	0
9M.Maldonado, C	2-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Gray, P	83	4	6	4
RE.Pagan, P	14	1	1	0
RK.Maeda, P	25	2	2	1
RB.Ober, P	38	1.1	2	3
RG.Jax, P	9	0.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1E.Julien, DH	0-3	0	0
2J.Polanco, 2B	0-2	0	0
3M.Kepler, RF	1-4	0	0
4R.Lewis, 3B	0-4	0	0
5C.Correa, SS	1-4	1	0
6A.Kirilloff, 1B	0-2	0	0
6D.Solano, PH	0-2	0	0
6D.Solano, 1B	0-2	0	0
7M.Wallner, LF	0-2	0	0
8W.Castro, CF	1-3	0	1
9R.Jeffers, C	0-3	0	0