Texas St vs. Southern Miss Odds & Betting Predictions - November 15, 2025

Texas St at Southern Miss

8:30 pm • ESPN+
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Texas St at Southern Miss Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Texas St
3-6
+6.5
+4.5-111
o65.5-111
+147
Southern Miss
7-2
u64.5
-4.5-109
u65.5-109
-175
location pinSaturday 8:30 p.m.
November 15, 2025
M.M. Roberts StadiumHattiesburg
thermometer image77°Fahrenheit
rain image0%Rain
wind image6Wind
Texas St vs. Southern Miss Expert Picks
Mike Calabrese
Mike Calabrese
Last 30d: 35-43-0 (+3.8u)
USM -4-102
3u
Still no respect for our Eagles. 5-0 in Sun Belt Play, and they smacked Jacksonville State that is 5-0 in CUSA. That Miss State performance in the opener looks pretty good too given their fiesty year in the SEC. The offense has hit 38 points five times this season, and the pass defense has rounded into elite shape. That was the hope with the talent infusion from Marshall and Josh Moten and the secondary have delivered on the promise. Top 15 in passing success rate, coverage, EPA and pass rush. They’ll need to be great in the skies because Texas State, despite being 0-5 in the Belt, can score. 39 in a loss to Louisiana last week. But this Texas State defense is gonna keep GJ Kinne coaching in San Marcos until he’s 50. He was supposed to be the next rising star but this defense is beyond trash. Outside the top 100 in all pass defense metrics, can’t create havoc to balance that out (113th) and everyone moves the football when given the chance. 132nd in Quality Drives allowed. Anything under a touchdown, I’m counting on Braxton and Blake Anderson to score 38+ again and the defense to make Texas State pay when the ball is in the air.
Stuck 🚨
Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 47-56-1 (-2.6u)
TXST +4.5-105
0.4u
Couple suspensions for Bobcats but still don’t think much difference between these teams
BBOC G5 Deep Dive Pod
BBOC G5 Deep Dive Pod
Last 30d: 11-23-0 (-10.7u)
USM -4-112
1u

Texas St vs. Southern Miss Previews & Analysis

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    College Football Week 12 Group Of 5 Betting Picks | Big Bets On Campus Podcast

    Mike Calabrese
    Nov 12, 2025 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Texas St vs. Southern Miss Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Texas St

Public

71%

Bets%

29%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Southern Miss
5-3-14-11-2-14-1-11-2
Texas St
2-71-31-41-51-2

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Southern Miss
5-44-11-34-21-2
Texas St
6-33-13-24-22-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Southern Miss
7-2N/AN/A6-01-2
Texas St
3-6N/AN/A2-41-2

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Nov 8th@ARSTW 27-21-6.5 LU 54.5USM -230
Oct 25thULMW 49-21-14 WO 49.5USM -550
Oct 18th@ULW 22-10-5 WU 54.5USM -196
Oct 10th@GASOW 38-35-3 LO 59.5USM -148
Sep 27thJVSTW 42-25-4.5 WO 55.5USM -205
Team Stats
2390
YDS
2324
176/260
Comps/Atts
185/275
9.19
YPA
8.45
13/6
TDs/INTs
20/6
20/119
Sacks/Yards
14/93
1905
Rush Yards
1384
381
Attempts
350
5
YPC
3.95
26
TDs
14
Fumbles Lost
6
Interceptions
6
39/43 90.7%
Redzone
30/35 85.7%
61/128 0%
3rd Down
49/124 0%
11/20 0%
4th Down
6/12 0%
198
Total
197
89
Pass
91
97
Rush
78
12
Penalty
28
/
Penalties/Yards
/

Texas St vs. Southern Miss Odds Comparison

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Texas St at Southern Miss Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Texas St
3-6
N/A
N/A
Southern Miss
7-2
N/A
N/A