Texas St vs. Southern Miss Odds & Betting Predictions - November 15, 2025
Texas St at Southern Miss
8:30 pm • ESPN+Texas St at Southern Miss Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Texas St 3-6 | +6.5 | +4.5-111 | o65.5-111 | +147 |
Southern Miss 7-2 | u64.5 | -4.5-109 | u65.5-109 | -175 |

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Texas St vs. Southern Miss Expert Picks
Mike Calabrese
Last 30d: 35-43-0 (+3.8u)
USM -4-102
3u
Still no respect for our Eagles. 5-0 in Sun Belt Play, and they smacked Jacksonville State that is 5-0 in CUSA. That Miss State performance in the opener looks pretty good too given their fiesty year in the SEC. The offense has hit 38 points five times this season, and the pass defense has rounded into elite shape. That was the hope with the talent infusion from Marshall and Josh Moten and the secondary have delivered on the promise. Top 15 in passing success rate, coverage, EPA and pass rush.
They’ll need to be great in the skies because Texas State, despite being 0-5 in the Belt, can score. 39 in a loss to Louisiana last week.
But this Texas State defense is gonna keep GJ Kinne coaching in San Marcos until he’s 50. He was supposed to be the next rising star but this defense is beyond trash. Outside the top 100 in all pass defense metrics, can’t create havoc to balance that out (113th) and everyone moves the football when given the chance. 132nd in Quality Drives allowed.
Anything under a touchdown, I’m counting on Braxton and Blake Anderson to score 38+ again and the defense to make Texas State pay when the ball is in the air.
Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 47-56-1 (-2.6u)
TXST +4.5-105
0.4u
Couple suspensions for Bobcats but still don’t think much difference between these teams
BBOC G5 Deep Dive Pod
Last 30d: 11-23-0 (-10.7u)
USM -4-112
1u
@Breese Best Bets https://myaction.app/JlWOeUGLeYb
Texas St vs. Southern Miss Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Texas St vs. Southern Miss Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Southern Miss are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- Southern Miss are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Southern Miss are 1-2 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Southern Miss' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Southern Miss' 5 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-3-1 | 4-1 | 1-2-1 | 4-1-1 | 1-2 | |
| 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 1-5 | 1-2 |
Over/Under History
| overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-4 | 4-1 | 1-3 | 4-2 | 1-2 | |
| 6-3 | 3-1 | 3-2 | 4-2 | 2-1 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7-2 | N/A | N/A | 6-0 | 1-2 | |
| 3-6 | N/A | N/A | 2-4 | 1-2 |
Last 5 Matchups
Team Stats
2390
YDS
2324
176/260
Comps/Atts
185/275
9.19
YPA
8.45
13/6
TDs/INTs
20/6
20/119
Sacks/Yards
14/93
39/43 90.7%
Redzone
30/35 85.7%
61/128 0%
3rd Down
49/124 0%
11/20 0%
4th Down
6/12 0%
/
Penalties/Yards
/
Texas St vs. Southern Miss Odds Comparison
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Texas St at Southern Miss Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Texas St 3-6 | N/A | N/A |
Southern Miss 7-2 | N/A | N/A |



