The Oklahoma City Thunder (26-3) and San Antonio Spurs (21-7) will meet in the NBA on Tuesday night. Tipoff from the Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, Texas is set for 8:30 p.m. ET. The game will broadcast live on FDSOK.
The Thunder are 7-point favorites over the Spurs on the spread (Thunder -7), with the over/under set at 233.5 total points. Oklahoma City is a -240 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while San Antonio is +205 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Thunder vs. Spurs predictions and NBA picks for Tuesday, December 23.
Thunder vs Spurs Prediction, Picks
- Thunder vs Spurs pick: Over 233.5 (-110)
My Spurs vs. Thunder best bet is on the over, with the best price currently available at bet365. However, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Thunder vs Spurs Odds for Tuesday, Dec. 23
| Thunder Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7 -105 | 233.5 -110o / -110u | -240 |
| Spurs Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7 -115 | 233.5 -110o / -110u | +205 |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs NBA Preview
The Thunder enter this matchup sitting atop the Western Conference with a dominant 26-3 record, while the Spurs are right behind them at 21-7.
Beyond the standings, this game carries an added layer of intrigue as a clear revenge spot for OKC, which lost 111-109 to San Antonio in the semifinals of the NBA Cup and was eliminated by the Spurs in a tight, high-intensity game.
Since that loss, the reigning champion have played three games, beating the Clippers 122-101, dropping a narrow 112-107 decision to the Timberwolves, and most recently bouncing back with a 119-103 win over the Memphis Grizzlies.
In that victory, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander once again set the tone, scoring 31 points on 11-of-20 shooting while adding eight assists and four steals. It also marked his 100th consecutive game with at least 20 points, extending the second-longest such streak in NBA history.
Jalen Williams added 24 points, and Ajay Mitchell chipped in 16 off the bench for an Oklahoma City team that was missing starters Chet Holmgren and Isaiah Hartenstein, yet still controlled the game offensively.
San Antonio comes in playing some of its best basketball of the season, winning three straight since losing to the Knicks in the NBA Cup Finals.
The Spurs crushed the Wizards 119-94, routed the Hawks 126-98, and followed that up with another win over Washington, 124-113. In their most recent outing,
De’Aaron Fox led the way with 27 points and five made three-pointers, while Luke Kornet posted 20 points and 12 rebounds and Stephon Castle added 18 points and 11 assists.
Victor Wembanyama continues to ease back from a calf strain, playing fewer than 25 minutes in each of his five games since returning, but still contributing efficiently with 14 points and 12 rebounds in under 22 minutes against the Wizards.
San Antonio’s recent games have featured strong offensive stretches, including a 43-point second quarter in that last win, showing how quickly this team can accelerate the pace.
Thunder vs Spurs Betting Predictions, Analysis
This matchup lines up well with Evan Abrams’ “Contrarian Overs, Good Road Teams” system. Oklahoma City fits the profile of a strong road team capable of dictating tempo and scoring.
With public and market sentiment often leaning toward unders in games involving top defenses or perceived revenge spots, this creates a contrarian opportunity.
OKC’s ability to push pace through Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, combined with San Antonio’s recent offensive rhythm behind Fox and an improving supporting cast, points toward a faster, more free-flowing game than the total suggests.
Even with Wembanyama on a minutes restriction, the Spurs have shown they can score efficiently and stretch games into higher totals.
When these elements align — a strong road team, non-division matchup, recent decisive win, and suppressed expectations — the over becomes more attractive.
In this spot, Oklahoma City should set the tone offensively, San Antonio should respond in kind, and the conditions are there for scoring to exceed the market number.
Thunder vs Spurs Best Bet
- Over 233.5 (-110)
Spurs vs Thunder Betting Trends
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