Red Sox vs. Nationals Odds
| Red Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Total | Run Line |
-186 | 9.5 -110 / -110 | -1.5 -120 |
| Nationals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Total | Run Line |
+156 | 9.5 -110 / -110 | +1.5 +100 |
The Boston Red Sox wrap up a three-game interleague series with the Washington Nationals on Thursday evening at Nationals Park.
The Red Sox won the first game of the series and the Nationals bounced back with a win on Wednesday.
Patrick Corbin will be on the bump for the Nationals, while Chris Sale starts for the Red Sox.
Our algorithm has identified an edge on Sale's player prop at BetMGM. Our models consider quantitative and qualitative factors for every angle of this game — including rest, matchups, stylistic differences, lingering injuries, history and more — to come up with a fair value line for every MLB player prop on the market.
Chris Sale Player Prop Prediction, Projection
On Aug. 11, Sale made his first start back from injury after sitting out for over two months.
In his return, Sale went four and two-thirds innings, allowing one earned run and tallying seven strikeouts.
BetMGM has set his strikeout total at 5.5 with +105 on the over, while the under is juiced at -135. That's the best price on the over in the market.
The model predicts Sale will have 6.8 strikeouts tonight, good enough for over a 15% betting edge.
Do keep in mind that these algorithms work best when you wager with the same size unit for each individual bet.
Pick: Chris Sale Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+105)
