Reds Odds Moneyline Total Run Line Giants Odds Moneyline Total Run Line 
The Cincinnati Reds begin a three-game series with the San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park on Monday night.
Both clubs are in the middle of the playoff hunt. The Reds and the Giants are both 1.5 games back of a Wild Card spot in the National League.
Kyle Harrison will be on the bump for the Giants and the Reds will turn to Andrew Abbott for the first game of the series.
Our algorithm has identified an edge on an Abbott player prop at BetMGM for Wednesday, expecting Abbott to have his way with the Giants' lineup. It's a bet on the over.
Our models consider quantitative and qualitative factors for every angle of this game — including rest, matchups, stylistic differences, lingering injuries, history and more — to come up with a fair-value line for every MLB player prop on the market.
Andrew Abbott Player Prop Prediction, Projection
Abbott is having a nice rookie season for the Reds. He's started 15 games and holds an 8-3 record to go along with a 3.16 ERA.
The model indicates Abbott's strikeout total is too low. BetMGM has set his strikeout total at 5.5 for Tuesday, with +110 to the over and -145 to the under. That's the best price on the over in the market.
The model predicts Abbott's strikeouts at 6.7, good enough for about an 18% betting edge on the over.
Do keep in mind that these algorithms work best when you wager with the same unit size for each individual bet.
Pick: Andrew Abbott Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-110)
