Twins vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - August 12, 2023

Twins at Phillies

10:05 pm • NBCS-PH

Minnesota Twins

0-0

8 - 1

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Walker			4.38	15-6
P.Lopez			3.67	11-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 0-0	-1.5+130	o9-110	-120
Phillies 1-3	+1.5-157	u9-110	+102

Saturday 10:05 p.m.

August 12, 2023

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

PHI +104

P.Lopez u6.5 Ks-113

$29.00

MIN -120 (F5)

MIN -110 (F5)

0.75u

Bet to -136. Reduce risk above -125

MIN -104

MIN +100

0.5u

Bet to -112

Featured Insight
Phillies have won 51% of their games on the road since last season -- ninth-best in MLB. Twins have won just 40% of their games on the road since last season -- fifth-worst.

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Featured Insight
The Twins have scored just 4.1 runs per game on the road over the last week -- sixth-lowest in MLB (67 games). The Phillies have allowed just 4.0 runs per game at home over the last week -- fifth-lowest in MLB (56 games).

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Saturday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Aug 12, 2023 UTC

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The Twins are 19-11 (.633) after a home win this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .542.

Bryson Stott has a miss rate of only 18% on breaking pitches this season -- sixth best in MLB-- 96th Percentile. Pablo Lopez has thrown his curveball 33% of the time this season -- fourth highest among qualified SPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Kyle Schwarber has struck out in 29% of PA's since last season -- tied for second highest in MLB-- second Percentile. Jhoan Duran has a strikeout rate of 33% since last season -- 13th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Pablo Lopez has struck out 34% (102/297) of right-handed batters he faced this season -- tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% -- 96th Percentile.

Pablo Lopez has a first-pitch strike rate of 71% (408/574) this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Phillies' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 11th	MIN	W 13-2	-1.5 W	O 9	PHI -145
Aug 10th	WSH	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 9	PHI -260
Aug 9th	WSH	W 7-0	-1.5 W	U 9	PHI -189
Aug 8th	WSH	L 4-5	-1.5 L	U 9	WSH -196
Aug 8th	WSH	W 8-4	-1.5 W	O 9	PHI -292

Max Kepler
OF
Kepler is out with knee
Out
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out

Jose Miranda
IF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
Trevor Larnach
OF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
Joe Ryan
P
Ryan is out with triceps
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RP.Lopez, P	92	6	7	0
RG.Jax, P	15	1	0	1
LC.Thielbar, P	15	1	1	0
RJ. Balazovic, P	18	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Julien, 2B	0-4	1	0	0
2J.Polanco, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
3C.Correa, SS	1-2	1	1	1
3K.Farmer, SS	1-1	0	0	0
4M.Kepler, RF	2-5	1	0	1
5R.Jeffers, DH	0-2	0	0	0
6M.Wallner, LF	2-5	2	1	2
7C.Vazquez, C	0-5	1	0	0
8J.Gallo, 1B	4-4	2	2	4
9M.Taylor, CF	0-5	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Walker, P	94	5	2	3
LM.Strahm, P	22	1	3	0
LG.Soto, P	23	0.1	1	4
RY.Marte, P	31	1.2	1	1
RJ.Hoffman, P	16	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Schwarber, LF	0-5	0	0
2A.Bohm, 1B	0-4	0	0
3B.Harper, DH	1-4	0	0
4N.Castellanos, RF	2-4	0	0
5B.Stott, 2B	0-4	0	0
6T.Turner, SS	3-3	1	0
7J.Realmuto, C	1-4	0	0
8J.Cave, CF	1-4	0	0
9R.Castro, 3B	1-4	0	1