Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - September 30, 2023

Red Sox at Orioles

11:15 pm • FOX

Boston Red Sox

0-0

2 - 5

Baltimore Orioles

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Gibson			4.73	15-9
K.Crawford			4.04	6-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 0-0	+1.5-190	o8-122	+110
Orioles 0-2	-1.5+158	u8+100	-130

Saturday 11:15 p.m.

September 30, 2023

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

Featured Insight
Red Sox have struck out just 22% since last season -- tied for 10th-lowest in MLB. Orioles have a strikeout rate of just 22% since last season -- ninth-lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Orioles hitters are slugging .400 versus relief pitchers since last season -- ninth-best in MLB. Red SoxRPs have allowed a SLG of .404 since last season -- eighth-worst in MLB.

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The Red Sox are just 33-46 (.418) after a loss this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .483.

The Orioles are 12-6 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are 24-18 (.571) after a win as underdogs this season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .438.

Justin Turner is slugging just .211 over the last two weeks -- tied for 14th worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. John Means has allowed a SLG of just .185 vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- seventh best among qualified SPs-- 89th Percentile.

Ceddanne Rafaela is slugging just .211 over the last two weeks -- tied for 14th worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. John Means has allowed a SLG of just .185 vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- seventh best among qualified SPs-- 89th Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has allowed a slugging percentage of .327 (111 Total Bases / 339 ABs) with two-strikes this season -- tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .260 -- 11th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .204 (69-for-339) against Kyle Gibson with two-strikes this season -- 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .163 -- eighth Percentile.

Kutter Crawford has a strikeout rate of 56% (14 SO in 25 PAs) with two-strikes -- 9th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% -- 87th Percentile.

Kutter Crawford's lowest spin rate on fastballs since last season is 2052.0 RPM -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 128 total IP; League Avg: 1215.5

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MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 46-35 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Orioles' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 29th	BOS	L 0-3	+1.5 L	U 7.5	BOS +101
Sep 28th	BOS	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	BAL -120
Sep 27th	WSH	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 7.5	BAL -250
Sep 26th	WSH	W 1-0	-1.5 L	U 7.5	BAL -250
Sep 24th	@CLE	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 7	BAL -102

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Garrett Whitlock
P
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
David Hamilton
IF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with back
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Crawford, P	76	6	7	0
RJ.Winckowski, P	26	1	2	2
RM. Llovera, P	29	1	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.Verdugo, RF	0-3	0	0
1P.Reyes, PH	2-2	1	0
1P.Reyes, 2B	2-2	1	0
2R.Devers, 3B	2-5	0	0
3J.Turner, 1B	2-4	1	0
4M.Yoshida, DH	3-5	0	1
5A.Duvall, CF	2-5	0	0
5A.Duvall, RF	2-5	0	0
6W.Abreu, LF	0-3	0	0
7T.Story, SS	1-4	0	1
8E.Valdez, 2B	1-2	0	0
8C.Rafaela, PH	0-2	0	0
8C.Rafaela, CF	0-2	0	0
9R.McGuire, C	1-4	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Gibson, P	80	5	4	0
LB.Zimmermann, P	28	2	2	0
RJ.Flaherty, P	27	1	2	1
RJ.Webb, P	25	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	1-4	1	0
1G.Henderson, 3B	1-4	1	0
2A.Rutschman, C	1-3	0	0
2J.Mateo, PR	0-1	2	1
2J.Mateo, SS	0-1	2	1
3A.Santander, DH	1-4	0	2
4R.O'Hearn, RF	0-4	0	0
5R.Mountcastle, 1B	1-3	1	1
5J.McCann, C	0-1	0	0
6C.Mullins, CF	0-2	0	0
6H.Kjerstad, LF	1-1	0	1
7A. Hicks, LF	0-3	0	0
7A. Hicks, CF	0-3	0	0
8R.Urias, 3B	0-3	0	0
8R.Urias, 1B	0-3	0	0
9A.Frazier, 2B	1-2	0	0
9J.Westburg, 2B	1-1	1	0