Dodgers vs. Rangers Odds & Betting Predictions - July 23, 2023

Dodgers at Rangers

6:35 pm • BSSW

Los Angeles Dodgers

11-5

4 - 8

Texas Rangers

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Perez			4.45	10-4
E.Sheehan			4.92	4-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Dodgers 11-5	-1.5+132	o9.5-120	-120
Rangers 0-0	+1.5-161	u9.5-102	+100

Sunday 6:35 p.m.

July 23, 2023

Globe Life FieldArlington

M.Perez u17.5 Outs-130

1.3u

I know that the Rangers could use some innings, but this is a really tough draw for Perez. The Dodgers hit lefties well (118 wRC+ L30 days), are very patient (3.96 pitches per PA is 5th highest) and don’t chase (3rd lowest chase rate). Perez is under this line in 10/18 - but only 2 of those starts were against teams in the top 10 of wRC+ vs lefties (and he was shelled in both). 12/L15 lefties under this line vs LAD.

LAD -120 (F5)

1.2u

LAD -115

1.15u

LAD -110

0.55u

To -115

LAD -110 (F5)

0.55u

To -122

LAD -107 (F5)

1.07u

Sunday's MLB Best Bets
Action Network Staff•
Jul 23, 2023 UTC

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The Dodgers are 55-40 (.579) this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Will Smith has struck out in just 14% of PA's this season -- 14th lowest in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Martin Perez has a strikeout rate of just 15% this season -- tied for seventh lowest among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP-- fourth Percentile.

Mookie Betts has an OPS of .904 since last season -- seventh best in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Genesis Cabrera has allowed an OPS of .773 (337 PAs) since last season -- 13th worst among qualified RPs-- sixth Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph'>Hard-Hit Rate of just 13% (2/15) against Martin Perez in late innings this season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 39% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .533 (8-for-15) against Emmet Sheehan when he's behind in the count over the last 30 days (4 games) -- 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .344 -- fifth Percentile.

Emmet Sheehan has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.267 (19 Total Bases / 15 ABs) when behind in the count over the last 30 days (4 games) -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .632 -- fourth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Rangers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rangers are 33-47 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rangers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 32 of Rangers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	70-91	37-44	33-47	35-56	34-34
Dodgers	81-79	42-38	39-41	74-67	7-11

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rangers	74-79-8	32-47-2	42-32-6	40-47-4	34-30-4
Dodgers	88-67-5	45-31-4	43-36-1	79-57-5	9-9

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	78-84	44-37	33-47	52-39	24-44
Dodgers	98-64	52-28	45-35	91-50	6-12

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 22nd	LAD	L 3-16	+1.5 L	O 9.5	LAD +120
Jul 22nd	LAD	L 5-11	-1.5 L	O 9.5	LAD -126
Jul 19th	TB	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 9	TEX -124
Jul 19th	TB	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 9	TEX -134
Jul 18th	TB	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 9	TEX +105

Dustin May
P
May is out with elbow
Out
Tony Gonsolin
P
Gonsolin is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Gavin Stone
P
Stone is out with shoulder
Out
Emmet Sheehan
P
Sheehan is out with arm
Out

Corey Seager
IF
Seager is out with hip
Out
Tyler Mahle
P
Mahle is out with shoulder
Out
Evan Carter
OF
Carter is out with back
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RE.Sheehan, P	90	3.2	4	8
LA.Vesia, P	16	1.1	2	0
RE.Phillips, P	15	1	2	0
RR.Brasier, P	7	1	0	0
LJ.Bruihl, P	10	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Betts, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
1M.Betts, RF	1-4	1	0	0
2F.Freeman, 1B	2-3	1	0	0
3W.Smith, DH	1-4	0	0	0
4C.Taylor, LF	1-3	1	0	0
5M.Muncy, 3B	1-4	1	1	4
6J.Outman, CF	0-3	0	0	0
6Y. Hernández, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6Y. Hernández, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
7M.Rojas, SS	0-4	0	0	0
8J.DeLuca, RF	2-4	0	0	0
8J.DeLuca, CF	2-4	0	0	0
9A.Barnes, C	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Perez, P	94	6	6	4
LB.Burke, P	8	1	0	0
LA.Chapman, P	15	1	2	0
LW.Smith, P	15	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Semien, 2B	1-5	1	1
2T.Jankowski, RF	0-4	1	0
3N.Lowe, 1B	1-3	1	1
4J.Jung, 3B	1-4	0	1
5J.Heim, C	1-3	1	2
6E.Duran, SS	2-4	1	1
7B. Miller, DH	2-3	2	0
8L.Taveras, CF	1-4	0	2
9J.Smith, LF	0-2	1	0
9R.Grossman, PH	0-1	0	0
9R.Grossman, LF	0-1	0	0