Monday MLB NRFI Odds, Pick & Preview: Back a Scoreless First Inning Between Reds’ Hunter Greene & Marlins’ Jesus Luzardo (August 1)
Dylan Buell/Getty Images. Pictured: Hunter Greene #21 of the Cincinnati Reds.
- The Marlins host the Reds on Monday in an MLB matchup that our NRFI analyst has circled.
- He thinks starting pitchers Hunter Greene and Jesus Luzardo have an edge on the mound against two struggling first-inning offenses.
- Shayne Trail breaks down the matchup and shares his best bet below.
Shayne Trail breaks down his favorite NRFI/YRFI bet of the day below, but you can follow all of his bets in the Action Network app.
Reds vs. Marlins — No Runs First Inning (-120)
| Matchup | Reds (Greene) vs. Marlins (Luzardo) |
| First Pitch | 6:40 p.m. ET |
| Best Line | DraftKings |
There's NRFI value on Monday at LoanDepot Park when the Marlins host the Reds.
The Reds will send out their young ace Hunter Greene, who is 14-5 to the NRFI, including seven road NRFI frames. When facing hitters the first time through the order, Greene has excelled by only allowing a .189 average.
Here is how several key Marlins hitters have fared against him in the past:
Lewin Díaz: 0-for-3
Jesús Sanchez: 1-for-3
Avisaíl Garcia: 1-for-3
JJ Bleday: 0-for-3
Marlins cleanup hitter Jesús Aguilar is in the midst of a slump as he is just 3-for-23 (.130) at the plate over the last week. So far this season, the Marlins offense has also been one of the worst in the majors early on as they have gone scoreless in 82% of their first innings at the plate.
The fish will counter with Jesús Luzardo on the hill. He is 22-11 to the NRFI since 2020 across two teams as he has had consistent success against the top of opposing batting lineups. Before heading to the IL, Luzardo held opposing leadoff batters hitless in their last 14 at-bats. Two-hole hitters have also struggled against him as they have just three hits in their last 15 at-bats.
Here is how some key Reds hitters have fared against Luzardo:
Jonathan India 1-for-3
Joey Votto: 0-for-2
Kyle Farmer: 0-for-2
Reds batters haven't been barreling the ball consistently as they had the second-worst Soft Contact Rate (23.2%) in July. Cincinnati has also hit the NRFI at the plate in 80% of its road games this season.
With both of these offenses struggling to score in first innings, they should be challenged against high-velocity pitchers Greene and Luzardo. Bet on the NRFI in this matchup with the best current value at -120 on DraftKings.
As always, six outs to glory…
For all of Shayne Trail's favorite NRFI/YRFI bets, follow him in the Action Network app.
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